Tuesday, May 27, 2008

The Tactical Node and the Strategic Network

Milan Vego continues to offer hard hitting pieces in the Armed Forces Journal. While we don't always agree with his points, they are always fascinating contributions and his latest piece, Obsessed with tactics, The Navy neglects the importance of operational art doesn't disappoint.

The Navy today is overly focused on the tactical employment of its combat forces, in its doctrine and practice. This might not be a problem in case of a conflict with numerically and technologically inferior forces. However, the Navy would have a much greater problem and possibly suffer a major defeat in a war with a relatively strong opponent that better balances the employment of his forces at the tactical and operational levels of war. The Navy’s superior technology and tactics would not be sufficient to overcome its lack of operational thinking.

The Navy’s over-reliance on technology is also one of the main reasons for its focus on the tactics of employment of platforms, weapons/sensors and combat arms. Moreover, the Navy grossly neglects tactics for employing several naval combat arms or combined arms tactics. Among numerous naval tactical publications, there is not a single one that explains the employment of surface forces, submarines, naval aircraft and combat arms of other services in combination. Another serious problem is that the Navy still lacks a doctrine for the operational level of war at sea. This lack of a broader operational framework greatly complicates writing subordinate tactical doctrinal publications.

Most of the Navy’s attention is given to strike warfare, while so-called “defensive warfare” areas, such as antisubmarine warfare, defense and protection of maritime trade, and mine warfare, are given a short shrift. The fate of the Imperial Japanese Navy (IJN) in World War II shows what can happen when the focus is almost exclusively on tactics and offensive employment of one’s combat forces. The Japanese were fixated on the single so-called decisive battle. That preoccupation guided the IJN’s tactical doctrine and ship designs resulting in a powerful surface force that was one-dimensional and brittle. Perhaps there is nothing worse than confusing tactics with strategy, and strategy with the conduct of war, as the IJN did in the interwar years.
The article is an excellent read in full. We find several of the points quite interesting, and while we don't agree on all points we do observe there are a number of examples where tactical thinking is emphasized and where strategy is lacking. In particular we really like how Milan Vego has set up the debate for Strike Warfare.

The Navy’s over-reliance on tactics has become even more pronounced with its adoption of network-centric warfare, now commonly referred to as network-centric operations (NCO). The Navy also became one of the strongest proponents of the so-called effects-based approach to operations (EBAO). Despite claims to the contrary, NCO and EBAO use tactical techniques and procedures to accomplish the objectives across the levels of war. Yet purely tactical actions such as strikes cannot replace, major operations as the main method of accomplishing operational objectives, at least not yet

NCO also provides, through the FORCEnet network architecture, the key component for the execution of the Navy’s vision for the 21st century, Sea Power 21. Except for some elements of Sea Shield and Sea Basing, Sea Power 21 is not focused on the operational level of war. For example, one of the major components of Sea Power 21, Sea Strike, is essentially a tactical concept. Among other things, it envisages that “netted fires and automated decision aids will accelerate the launching of precision attacks on critical targets in order to create appropriate effects.”

The Navy’s narrow and tactical focus is highlighted in almost all its official statements regarding the employment of major tactical forces — the carrier strike groups, expeditionary strike groups, strike or theater ballistic missile surface action groups, and maritime prepositioning groups — as the principal forces subordinate to joint force commander. The numbered and theater fleets, such as the 7th Fleet and the Pacific Fleet, are rarely mentioned. Yet only theater forces have the capabilities to accomplish operational and strategic objectives in war at sea.

When reading this article our discussions trended towards a focus on the node vs a focus on the network, and what each piece has come to represent. A node can be described as a tactical application of technology for "effects" while a network is a strategic application of theater forces for influence. Milan Vego didn't quite carry it that far, but we will.

We think there is a good argument that the node approach to naval warfare describes the Navy's own resource priorities. The tactical mindset would immediately explain why a system like the Cyclone class Patrol Ship would be dismissed by the "effects-based approach" and given up to the Coast Guard, only now to realize how effective these platforms are as part of the strategic theater network.

We really like that Milon Vego links "effects-based approach" to a tactical view of "network-centric operations" because truth is evident in his astute observation. The early controversies that surrounded discussions of network-centric warfare in the Navy were specific to network nodes, not the network itself, specifically most of the criticism of Admiral Cebrowski's Streetfighter focused on the small platforms that lacked capability for "effects" at the unit level, and in this tactical view individual platforms were seen as "expendable". The irony is that an "expendable" label requires a tactical view of an individual platform while the strategic equivalent would be "attrition" due to operations at the theater level of war. The tactical view won that argument, an early sign of trouble.

Aside from the obvious tactical view taken in the means the Navy is developing for executing strategy, the tactical ways observed from Milan Vego are interesting to note. Sea Basing is an interesting example, a 2 battalion metric for offensive operations laid down as a requirement by the Marines is a good example of a tactical requirement for Sea Basing replacing a strategic operational concept of Sea Basing. We wonder what the strategic view of Sea Basing would be if the metric of measurement was slightly different, for example a metric that required support for one Army Stryker BCT, two MEUs, and the integration of three Air Force Wings with naval forces for strategic influence of a host nation. Note the difference, the Marine scenario of the 2 MEB requirement is a tactical maneuver and tactical objective requirement, where the second scenario is a strategic requirement for developing, integrating, and supporting a network towards influence of a strategic objective. We believe that depending upon the view, the nodes would be quite different.

We believe influence at the operational level of war can be assessed based on network metrics rather than node metrics, and network strength can be a measurement for strategic influence just like models that assess tactical influence that individual nodes contribute. We believe that with such an approach the value of strategic speed vs tactical speed would become more obvious as a metric, and any measured value of just-in-time logistics would immediately become subordinate to the value of a strategic reserve. It will not be the tactical node's, rather the strategic networks (either connected or disconnected) that will ultimately influence the operational level of war through improving the human decision process. If it was truly the other way around, one node in Washington DC could make all decisions, a theory long proven a fallacy of network-centric operations.

We believe the tactical view of individual network node's at the operational level of war has allowed the metrics that are used to access success in doctrinal planning to be skewed towards the tactical strengths, resulting in several problems when taking a strategic view of the Navy. Only by taking the strategic view of the network will metric realignment take place towards greater understanding of requirements for warfighting under network-centric operations models at the operational level of war from sea in the modern era.

It is easy enough to prove if either Milan Vega or our own observations are correct in these assertions, simply turn off the network connections between theater forces during exercises. If doctrine is right theater forces will perform responsibilities towards theater strategic objectives without the guidance from central nodes. If doctrine is wrong, one will observe a mesh of tactical moves with no strategic ends.

Monday, May 26, 2008

Monsoon Season Arrives In Myanmar

While the international community is busy trying to get the junta to live up to the promises that aid workers can enter country and help with the estimated 2.5 million people in need of assistance following the Cyclone early this month, the situation on the ground continues to deteriorate. While aid is getting in through relief flights and a few ships, the response is often described as slow and inadequate. Most aid agencies report problems caused by the government, and the estimated dead and missing is at 133,000+. Government problems continue to dominate the headlines.

Development Program's director for crisis prevention, said Monday that despite the government's statements that most of the short-term relief has been completed, "no one" at the U.N. or on her team "feels that we are anywhere near the end of the humanitarian relief period."

Ms. Cravero, who was in Yangon, Myanmar's main city, for a donor conference Sunday, said only 50% of the affected people have been provided with significant aid and that foreign governments at the meeting stressed they would only offer more support when they see more access and transparency in aid distribution.
There is cautious optimism following the UN brokered diplomatic deal that would allow aid workers, which will supposedly allow workers into country by the end of this week. While the UN is putting the happy face on these developments, we don't expect it to happen quickly. While the government does nothing, conditions on the ground will get much worse this week as the monsoon season we discussed immediately following the Cyclone tragedy arrives in Myanmar.
The monsoon has struck and it is raining all day, every day and will continue like this until October; with high winds and heavy rainfall. They will not see the sun for the next five to six months.

These people have no shelter at all; they have no dry clothes. The young, the weak and the old are particularly vulnerable. People are so demoralised that they have lost interest in taking on any activity, unusual for such industrious people.

Imagine if you had spent the last two weeks soaking wet and up to your knees in water, nothing to eat or drink, with your family dying all around you, your livelihood gone, your home blown away, weakened with dysentery and influenza.
While there have been a number of western media editorials calling for confrontation and intervention, the aid agencies are calling for a different approach. Many aid agencies find the local Burmese institutions to be quite capable, and more important, trusted by the local population unlike external support which has been made unpopular through decades of propaganda. This is a view from a western aid worker perspective inside Myanmar that is outside the usual western press reporting.
Contrary to press reports, a good deal of aid is getting through. The big US cargo planes are still being prevented from landing, but the organisations we are working with all have their own channels. Commercial air freight into the country is working normally and a good deal of aid supply is coming through this way.

Most necessities are available here – there is a ready supply of freight from China, India and Thailand – and yet cyclone survivors are being given bottles of mineral water flown in from the UK when local companies are offering excellent products.

Supplies can be sourced here easily and far more cheaply than flying them in. This is mainland south-east Asia – Burma is surrounded by mass-producing, low-cost, tiger economies. This is not “darkest Africa”.

Village people here are mistrustful of foreign medicines and would prefer Burmese traditional medicines. And they find the high-energy biscuits being doled out by the aid agencies unpalatable and demoralising. Traditional staples such as rice and fish paste are both readily available just outside the disaster zone – indeed, last week, at the Thilawa docks, the government was loading ships with rice for export to Bangladesh. There is no shortage of rice.

There is no need to fly food in, just money, which is lighter, to buy simple essentials.

While the military regime may be incompetent to deal with the crisis, we should not under-estimate the resourcefulness of other Burmese institutions. Local firms, associations, clubs and schools have been collecting funds and goods to send to the needy. Their biggest problem is they can not deliver beyond the distance of a day trip, about 90 miles.

With so many political issues going on, the NGOs have had to learn how things work – you need a Burmese front organisation and the NGO takes the back seat. This is now working – and timely, as a continued local-only response would be impossible to sustain in the long term.
The article goes on to note that the western criticism is hurting the effort. We are not impressed by this argument, we do not see the wisdom in the international community standing quiet while the lives of millions of people hang in the balance, and find the logic of such a stance to be empty given the response by the junta to all conditions, positive or negative.

When two and a half million people face five months of rain with no shelter, and the international community is prohibited from helping these people, it is somewhat telling that the NGOs see the best option being to stand by and allow for small gains. Very understandable though, no government or institution has been willing to take any substantial action towards offering a better alternative.

As the monsoon season rains on the people in Myanmar over the next week, the real danger becomes the expected increase in mosquitoes. With a lack of shelter, an abundance of rotting animal and human corpses, conditions for a perfect storm for disease appears a certainty without rapid action... something that has been absent the entire effort.

While there may be food right now, we note that the rice crop did not get laid down prior to the monsoon seasons arrival, meaning the nation is facing a 40% drop is in the rice crop from the beginning. The UN is right to look at this as a long term problem, because meeting the short term problems of finding shelter for millions of people is only the beginning, the lack of a rice crop in the region this year and the destruction of most regional fishing industries leaves the local communities with long term needs as well.

Memorial Day 2008

The Small Wars Journal has a great roundup.

Have a great holiday, remember the purpose, and stay safe.

Sunday, May 25, 2008

Picture of the Day: Fore on the George Washington

There are still no details, but with the fire near Hanger Bay 3 the fire appears to be larger than some assumed originally. We learn through the photography captions on Navy.mil the fire spread through the wiring spaces. These two pictures stand out among those on published to date.

5th Fleet Focus: Order of Battle

Order of Battle in the 5th Fleet Area of Responsibility.


Abraham Lincoln Carrier Strike Group

USS Abraham Lincoln (CVN 72)
USS Mobile Bay (CG 53)
USS Russell (DDG 59)
USS Shoup (DDG 86)
USS Momsen (DDG 92)
USS Curts (FFG 38)


Nassau Expeditionary Strike Group

USS Nassau (LHA 4)
USS Ashland (LSD 48)
USS Nashville (LPD 13)
USS Philippine Sea (CG 58)
USS Ross (DDG 71)
USS Bulkeley (DDG 84)


In Theater

Ocean 6
FGS Emden (F 210)
HMCS Iroquois (DDH 280)
HMCS Calgary (FFH 335)
HNLMS Evertsen (F 805)
ITS Commandante Borsini (P491)
FS Enseigne de vaisseau Jacoubet (F794)
USS Oak Hill (LSD 51)
HMS Chatham (F87)
HMS Montrose (F236)
HMNZS Te Mana (F111)
USS Scout (MCM 8)
USS Gladiator (MCM 11)
USS Ardent (MCM 12)
USS Dexterous (MCM 13)
HMS Ramsay (M 110)
HMS Blyth (M 111)
HMS Atherstone (M38)
HMS Chiddingfold (M37)

Friday, May 23, 2008

Fire on USS George Washington Yesterday

The Navy is reporting there was a fire yesterday on the USS George Washington (CVN 73). I shouldn't need to emphasize how serious fire is taken aboard any ship, much less a nuclear aircraft carrier.

At approximately 7:50 a.m. local time on May 22, a fire was detected in the vicinity of the aft air conditioning and refrigeration space and auxiliary boiler room aboard the aircraft carrier USS George Washington (CVN 73).

The fire spread to several spaces via a cableway and caused extreme heat in some of the ship spaces, but it was contained and extinguished by the crew without any serious injuries to personnel. It took several hours to completely contain and extinguish the fire.

The ship had been conducting a routine replenishment at sea in the Pacific Ocean with USS Crommelin (FFG 37)when smoke was observed and an emergency breakaway was initiated.

There were no serious injuries. Twenty-three Sailors were treated for heat stress and one Sailor was treated for first degree burns. The ship's crew was at general quarters for approximately 12 hours.
Most important point: No one was seriously injured. The rest can be fixed.

Five Thoughts on Friday

An excellent way to start Friday, pictures of North Korea's stealth Navy.

The Navy is headlining the news in Russia. David knows why.

Russia to restore a battleship (Красная Звезда в четверг). Military parades, amphibious assaults on TV, new submarine launched ballistic missiles, and nuclear battleships can give the look and feel of the old Soviet regime, but things aren't just skin deep in Russia. When I can read about the shipbuilding budget of 2007 and 2008 on the internet, read how the active core was originally funded for 2007 but not done (read corruption), and how it is again funded and planned in the 2008 budget it reminds me that despite the hype things have clearly changed in Russia. The transition is interesting...

Analysis of the PLA in action for the earthquake response. More PLA analysis here, and interesting observations here.

New twist to the hijacked ship off Somalia, the pirates claim the ship from Jordan they hijacked which was supposed to have aid from Denmark has weapons aboard. Eagle1 offers more plus analysis. Speaking of smuggling weapons into Africa, remember that Chinese ship loaded with arms that was almost seized in South Africa? Springboard has the rest of the story.